We didn't have time to cover all of
the 3-cell model features in class last Thursday. I briefly
mentioned them this morning. You'll find a more detailed
description at the end of the Thu., Nov. 10 notes.
You
can usually see the Intertropical
Convergence Zone on this satellite
photograph. It's a band (sometimes nearly continuous other
times more segmented) of clouds near the equator.
We'll come back, I'm afraid, to the 3-cell model briefly at the
start of class on Thursday.
The
majority of today's class was devoted to thunderstorms. Because
time is running short this semester, we'll try to cover thunderstorms
today and tornadoes on Thursday. We'll have a look at lightning
next Tuesday. I'd also like to at least cover some hurricane
basics before the end of the semester.
Here's a little bit of an introduction
Thunderstorms come in different sizes and levels of
severity. We will mostly be concerned with ordinary
single-cell thunderstorms
(also referred to as air mass thunderstorms). Most summer
thunderstorms in Tucson are this type. An air mass
thunderstorm has a vertical updraft. A cell is just a
thunderstorm "unit."
Tilted updrafts are found in severe and supercell thunderstorms.
As we shall see this allows those storms to get bigger, stronger, and
last longer. Supercell thunderstorms have a complex internal
structure; we'll watch a short
video at some point that shows a computer simulation of the complex air
motions inside a supercell thunderstorm.
The
following somewhat tedious material was intended to
prepare you to better appreciate a time lapse video movie
of a thunderstorm developing over the Catalina mountains. I don't
expect you to remember all of the details given below. The
figures below are more carefully drawn versions of what was done in
class.
Refer back and forth between the lettered points in
the
figure
above and the commentary below.
The numbers in Column A
show the temperature of the air in the atmosphere at various altitudes
above the ground (note the altitude scale on the right edge of the
figure). On this particular day the air temperature was
decreasing at a rate of 8 C per kilometer. This rate of decrease
is referred to as the environmental lapse rate (lapse rate just means
rate of decrease with altitude). Temperature could
decrease more quickly than shown here or less rapidly.
Temperature in the atmosphere can even increase with increasing
altitude
(a temperature inversion).
At Point B, some of
the surface air is put into an imaginary container, a parcel.
Then a meterological process of some kind lifts the air to 1 km
altitude (in Arizona in the summer, sunlight heats the ground and air
in contact with the ground, the warm air becomes bouyant - that's
called free convection). The
rising air will expand and cool as it is
rising. Unsaturated (RH is less than 100%) air cools at a rate of
10 C per
kilometer. So the 15 C surface air will have a temperature of 5 C
once it arrives at 1 km altitude.
"Mother Nature" lifts the parcel to 1 km and "then lets go." At Point C note that
the air inside the parcel is slightly colder than the air outside (5 C
inside versus 7 C outside). The air inside the parcel will be
denser than the air outside and the parcel will sink back
to the
ground.
By 10:30 am the parcel is being lifted to 2 km as shown at Point D. It is still
cooling 10 C for every kilometer of altitude gain. At 2 km, at Point E the
air
has
cooled
to
its
dew
point temperature and a cloud has
formed. Notice at Point
F, the air in the parcel or in the cloud (-5 C) is still colder
and denser than the surrounding air (-1 C), so the air will sink back
to the ground and the cloud will disappear. Still no thunderstorm
at this point.
At noon, the air is lifted to 3
km. Because the
air
became saturated at 2 km, it will cool at a different rate
between 2 and
3 km altitude. It cools at a rate of 6 C/km instead of 10
C/km. The saturated air cools more slowly because release of
latent heat
during condensation offsets some of the cooling due to
expansion. The air that arrives at 3km, Point H, is again still
colder than the
surrounding air and will sink back down to the surface.
By 1:30 pm the air is getting high enough that it has become
neutrally
bouyant, it has the same temperature and density as the air around it
(-17 C inside and -17 C outside). This is called the level of
free convection, Point J in the figure.
If you can, somehow or another, lift air above the level of
free
convection it will find itself warmer and less dense than the
surrounding air as shown at Point K and will float upward to the top of
the troposphere on its own. This is really the
beginning of a thunderstorm. The thunderstorm will grow
upward
until it reaches very stable air at the bottom of the stratosphere.
This would normally
have been
followed by a time lapse video tape of
actual thunderstorm formation and growth. I couldn't do that in
class on Tuesday because the cabinet where the VCR is kept was
locked. Here's a
pretty good substitute. I'll try to show something at the
start of class on Thursday.
The events leading up to the initiation of a summer air mass
thunderstorm (something we looked at in detail above) is
summarized in
the figure below. It takes
some
effort and often a good
part of the
day before a thunderstorm forms. The air must be lifted to just
above the
level of free convection (the dotted line at middle left in the
picture). Once air is lifted above the level of
free
convection it finds itself warmer and less dense that the air around it
and
floats upward on its own. I've tried to show
this with colors below. Cool colors below the level of free
convection. The air in the lifted parcel is colder and denser
than its surroundings. Warm colors indicate parcel air that is
warmer and less dense than the surroudings once lifted above the dotted
line. Once the parcel is lifted above the level of free
convection it becomes bouyant; this is the
moment at
which the air mass thunderstorm begins.
Once a
thunderstorm develops it then goes through 3 stages.

In the
first stage you would only find updrafts inside the cloud (that's all
you need to know about this stage, you don't even need to remember its
name).

Once precipitation has formed and grown to a certain size, it will
begin to
fall and drag air downward with it. This is the beginning of the
mature
stage where you find both an updraft and a downdraft inside the
cloud.
The falling precipitation will also pull in dry air from outside the
thunderstorm (this is called entrainment). Precipitation will mix
with
this drier air and evaporate. The evaporation will strengthen the
downdraft
(the evaporation cools the air and makes it more
dense).
The thunderstorm is strongest in the mature stage. This is when
the
heaviest rain, strongest winds, and most of the lightning occur.
Eventually the downdraft spreads
horizontally throughout the inside of
the
cloud and begins to interfere with the updraft. This marks the
beginning of the end for this thunderstorm.

The
downdraft eventually fills the interior of the cloud. In this
dissipating stage you would only find weak downdrafts
throughout the cloud.
Note how the winds from one
thunderstorm can cause a region of
convergence on
one side of the original storm and can lead to the development of new
storms. Preexisting winds refers to winds that were blowing
before the
thunderstorm formed. Convergence between the prexisting and the
thunderstorm downdraft winds creates rising air that can initiate a new
thunderstorm.
The
picture below shows some of the features at the base of a thunderstorm.
The cold downdraft air spilling out of
a
thunderstorm hits the ground
and
begins to move outward from underneather
the
thunderstorm. The leading edge of this outward moving air is
called a
gust front. You can think of it as a dust front because the gust
front
winds often stir up a lot of dust here in the desert southwest (see
below).
The
gust front in this picture (taken
near Winslow, Az) is moving from the right
to the
left. Visibility in the dust cloud can drop to near zero which
makes this
a serious
hazard to automobile traffic. Dust storms like this are
sometimes called "haboobs".
The following picture shows a shelf
cloud.
Warm
moist air if lifted by the cold air behind the gust front which is
moving from left
to right in this picture. The shelf cloud is very close to the
ground, so
the warm air must have been very
moist because it didn't have to rise and cool much before it became
saturated and a
cloud
formed. Here are a couple of pretty good videos (Grand Haven, MI
and Massillon, OH)
A
narrow intense downdraft is called a microburst. At the ground
microburst winds will sometimes reach 100 MPH (over a limited area);
most
tornadoes have winds of 100 MPH or less. Microburst winds can
damage
homes (especially mobile homes that aren't tied to the ground), uproot
trees,
and seem to blow over a line of electric power poles at some point
every summer
in Tucson.
Microbursts
are a serious threat to
aircraft
especially when they are close to the ground during landing or
takeoff.
An inattentive pilot encountering headwinds at Point 1 might cut back
on the
power. Very quickly the plane would lose the headwinds (Point 2)
and then
encounter tailwinds (Point 3). The plane might lose altitude so
quickly
that it would crash into the ground before corrective action could be
taken. Microburst associated wind shear was largely responsible
for the crash of Delta Airlines Flight 191 while landing at the Dallas
Fort Worth airport on Aug. 2, 1985 (click here to watch a
simulation of the final approach into the airport).
Falling rain could warn of a (wet)
microburst. In other cases,
dangerous
dry microburst winds might be invisible (the virga,
evaporating
rain,
will
cool
the
air,
make
the
air more dense, and
strengthen
the downdraft winds).
A simple demonstration (the last of my
homemade videos, I promise)
can give you an
idea of what a microburst might
look
like.
A large plastic
tank was filled
with water, the water represents air in the
atmosphere. Then a colored mixture of water and glycerin, which
is a
little denser than water, is poured into the tank. This
represents the
cold dense air in a thunderstorm downdraft. The colored liquid
sinks to
the bottom of the tank and then spreads out horizontally. In the
atmosphere the cold downdraft air hits the ground and spreads out
horizontally. These are the strong winds that can reach 100 MPH.
Here's
a picture of a wet microburst, a narrow intense thunderstorm downdraft
and
rain.
Here are three microburst videos from
YouTube.
The first
video shows a microburst from some distance away. The second video was
taken in the heavy rain and strong winds under a thunderstorm in the
microburst. You'll see a power pole snapped in half by the
microburst winds at about 2:26 in the video. Here's
a
third video
of a microburst that hit Princeton KS in July 2009. Someone
watching the storm estimated the winds were at least 90 MPH.